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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
105 : 1182015.11.23 · 종료
Golden State WarriorsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +65.0%
VALUE EDGE+65.0%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsGolden State Warriors
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+1.25 Point MarginHigher is better +9.25
229.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 232.75
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
65.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
L · 107-114L · 109-98W · 98-115L · 105-81W · 107-98
Golden State Warriors
W · 106-94W · 117-124W · 115-110W · 116-129W · 84-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.27Denver Nuggets114 : 134Golden State Warriors
2020.03.04Denver Nuggets100 : 116Golden State Warriors
2017.02.14Denver Nuggets132 : 110Golden State Warriors
2017.01.03Golden State Warriors127 : 119Denver Nuggets
2016.11.11Denver Nuggets101 : 125Golden State Warriors
2016.01.14Denver Nuggets112 : 110Golden State Warriors
2015.11.23Denver Nuggets105 : 118Golden State Warriors
2015.11.07Golden State Warriors119 : 104Denver Nuggets
2015.10.14Golden State Warriors103 : 114Denver Nuggets