Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
116 : 1092015.11.20 · 종료
Sacramento KingsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.2%
VALUE EDGE+61.2%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsSacramento Kings
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.50
241.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
228.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
L · 91-103W · 92-91W · 101-88W · 96-76L · 90-87
Sacramento Kings
L · 103-97W · 107-101W · 111-109W · 101-92L · 88-106
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.09 | Sacramento Kings | 108 : 114 | Miami Heat |
| 2020.07.23 | Miami Heat | 104 : 98 | Sacramento Kings |
| 2020.02.08 | Sacramento Kings | 105 : 97 | Miami Heat |
| 2019.07.03 | Sacramento Kings | 88 : 89 | Miami Heat |
| 2018.07.06 | Sacramento Kings | 76 : 86 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.01.05 | Sacramento Kings | 102 : 107 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.04.02 | Sacramento Kings | 106 : 112 | Miami Heat |
| 2015.11.20 | Miami Heat | 116 : 109 | Sacramento Kings |