Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
San Antonio SpursHOME · -
109 : 982015.11.19 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.2%
VALUE EDGE+67.2%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
San Antonio SpursAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+13.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
225.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
229.75
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation14.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Antonio Spurs
W · 93-80W · 92-83W · 101-113W · 88-106W · 114-94
Denver Nuggets
W · 98-115L · 105-81W · 107-98W · 103-102W · 108-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.08.06 | San Antonio Spurs | 126 : 132 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.02.11 | Denver Nuggets | 127 : 120 | San Antonio Spurs |
| 2017.02.05 | San Antonio Spurs | 121 : 97 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.01.20 | San Antonio Spurs | 118 : 104 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.01.06 | Denver Nuggets | 99 : 127 | San Antonio Spurs |
| 2016.04.09 | Denver Nuggets | 102 : 98 | San Antonio Spurs |
| 2015.12.27 | San Antonio Spurs | 101 : 86 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2015.11.28 | Denver Nuggets | 80 : 91 | San Antonio Spurs |
| 2015.11.19 | San Antonio Spurs | 109 : 98 | Denver Nuggets |