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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Boston CelticsHOME · -
102 : 1062015.11.19 · 종료
Dallas MavericksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.5%
VALUE EDGE+64.5%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Boston CelticsAnalysis MetricsDallas Mavericks
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+10.25 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25
220.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 226.92
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation12.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Boston Celtics
W · 95-111W · 85-100W · 106-93L · 91-102W · 83-99
Dallas Mavericks
W · 86-92W · 98-110W · 90-82W · 118-108L · 120-105

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.12.19Dallas Mavericks103 : 109Boston Celtics
2019.11.12Boston Celtics116 : 106Dallas Mavericks
2017.07.16Dallas Mavericks91 : 74Boston Celtics
2017.02.14Dallas Mavericks98 : 111Boston Celtics
2016.11.17Boston Celtics90 : 83Dallas Mavericks
2015.11.19Boston Celtics102 : 106Dallas Mavericks