Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
New Orleans PelicansHOME · -
98 : 1152015.11.18 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.8%
VALUE EDGE+55.8%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
New Orleans PelicansAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-4.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
237.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
229.75
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
2.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation5.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
New Orleans Pelicans
L · 95-87L · 100-81L · 106-98W · 120-105L · 107-98
Denver Nuggets
L · 105-81W · 107-98W · 103-102W · 108-104L · 119-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.29 | New Orleans Pelicans | 91 : 104 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2026.10.25 | Denver Nuggets | 141 : 135 | New Orleans Pelicans |
| 2020.07.26 | New Orleans Pelicans | 119 : 104 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.01.25 | New Orleans Pelicans | 106 : 113 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.12.26 | Denver Nuggets | 100 : 112 | New Orleans Pelicans |
| 2019.11.01 | New Orleans Pelicans | 122 : 107 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.07.15 | Denver Nuggets | 96 : 91 | New Orleans Pelicans |
| 2017.04.08 | Denver Nuggets | 122 : 106 | New Orleans Pelicans |
| 2017.04.05 | New Orleans Pelicans | 131 : 134 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.03.27 | Denver Nuggets | 90 : 115 | New Orleans Pelicans |