Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Miami HeatHOME · -
96 : 762015.11.09 · 종료
Toronto RaptorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Miami HeatAnalysis MetricsToronto Raptors
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
241.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
232.92
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Miami Heat
L · 90-87W · 84-96L · 92-98W · 109-89L · 102-92
Toronto Raptors
L · 92-87W · 98-103W · 91-102W · 106-87W · 103-113
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.08.04 | Miami Heat | 103 : 107 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2020.01.03 | Miami Heat | 84 : 76 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2017.04.08 | Toronto Raptors | 96 : 94 | Miami Heat |
| 2017.03.24 | Miami Heat | 84 : 101 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2017.03.12 | Miami Heat | 104 : 89 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2016.11.05 | Toronto Raptors | 96 : 87 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.05.16 | Toronto Raptors | 116 : 89 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.05.14 | Miami Heat | 103 : 91 | Toronto Raptors |
| 2016.05.12 | Toronto Raptors | 99 : 91 | Miami Heat |
| 2016.05.08 | Miami Heat | 91 : 95 | Toronto Raptors |