Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
84 : 962015.11.06 · 종료
Utah JazzAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsUtah Jazz
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+1.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.67
229.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
225.33
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
W · 109-120L · 117-93L · 78-95W · 85-105L · 98-78
Utah Jazz
L · 92-108W · 76-97W · 71-99L · 92-87W · 98-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.07 | Utah Jazz | 106 : 117 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.09.02 | Denver Nuggets | 80 : 78 | Utah Jazz |
| 2020.08.31 | Utah Jazz | 107 : 119 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.08.26 | Denver Nuggets | 117 : 107 | Utah Jazz |
| 2020.08.24 | Utah Jazz | 129 : 127 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.08.22 | Utah Jazz | 124 : 87 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.08.20 | Denver Nuggets | 105 : 124 | Utah Jazz |
| 2020.02.06 | Utah Jazz | 95 : 98 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.01.31 | Denver Nuggets | 106 : 100 | Utah Jazz |
| 2017.01.25 | Denver Nuggets | 103 : 93 | Utah Jazz |