Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Los Angeles LakersHOME · -
109 : 1202015.11.04 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Los Angeles LakersAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+6.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
235.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
229.75
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Los Angeles Lakers
L · 93-103L · 132-114L · 111-112L · 97-136W · 104-102
Denver Nuggets
L · 117-93L · 78-95W · 85-105L · 98-78L · 111-98
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.17 | Los Angeles Lakers | 106 : 121 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.09.27 | Los Angeles Lakers | 117 : 107 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.09.25 | Denver Nuggets | 108 : 114 | Los Angeles Lakers |
| 2020.09.23 | Denver Nuggets | 114 : 106 | Los Angeles Lakers |
| 2020.09.21 | Los Angeles Lakers | 105 : 103 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.09.19 | Los Angeles Lakers | 126 : 114 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.08.11 | Los Angeles Lakers | 124 : 121 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.12.23 | Los Angeles Lakers | 104 : 128 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.12.04 | Denver Nuggets | 96 : 105 | Los Angeles Lakers |
| 2017.03.14 | Denver Nuggets | 129 : 101 | Los Angeles Lakers |