Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Utah JazzHOME · -
98 : 782015.10.23 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.8%
VALUE EDGE+56.8%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADES
Utah JazzAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-8.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
225.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
229.75
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation5.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Utah Jazz
L · 102-113L · 81-88L · 101-85W · 71-90W · 72-70
Denver Nuggets
L · 111-98W · 106-81W · 103-114W · 112-94W · 86-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.07 | Utah Jazz | 106 : 117 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.09.02 | Denver Nuggets | 80 : 78 | Utah Jazz |
| 2020.08.31 | Utah Jazz | 107 : 119 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.08.26 | Denver Nuggets | 117 : 107 | Utah Jazz |
| 2020.08.24 | Utah Jazz | 129 : 127 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.08.22 | Utah Jazz | 124 : 87 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.08.20 | Denver Nuggets | 105 : 124 | Utah Jazz |
| 2020.02.06 | Utah Jazz | 95 : 98 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.01.31 | Denver Nuggets | 106 : 100 | Utah Jazz |
| 2017.01.25 | Denver Nuggets | 103 : 93 | Utah Jazz |