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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBA USA
Atlanta HawksHOME · -
92 : 1012015.10.19 · 종료
Miami HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.4%
VALUE EDGE+67.4%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
Atlanta HawksAnalysis MetricsMiami Heat
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83
234.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 241.00
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation14.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atlanta Hawks
W · 84-91W · 100-86W · 93-103W · 96-98
Miami Heat
W · 100-105W · 97-94L · 97-100L · 77-90L · 103-98

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.29Atlanta Hawks117 : 129Miami Heat
2021.08.15Miami Heat90 : 94Atlanta Hawks
2020.02.21Atlanta Hawks129 : 124Miami Heat
2019.11.01Atlanta Hawks97 : 106Miami Heat
2019.10.30Miami Heat112 : 97Atlanta Hawks
2019.10.15Miami Heat120 : 87Atlanta Hawks
2017.02.25Atlanta Hawks90 : 108Miami Heat
2017.02.02Miami Heat116 : 93Atlanta Hawks
2016.12.08Atlanta Hawks103 : 95Miami Heat
2016.11.16Miami Heat90 : 93Atlanta Hawks