Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Oklahoma City ThunderHOME · -
111 : 982015.10.19 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+69.7%
VALUE EDGE+69.7%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
Oklahoma City ThunderAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+4.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
216.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
229.75
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Oklahoma City Thunder
L · 94-78W · 100-88W · 99-122W · 103-98L · 71-94
Denver Nuggets
W · 106-81W · 103-114W · 112-94W · 86-96L · 103-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.23 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 96 : 84 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.02.22 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 113 : 101 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.12.15 | Denver Nuggets | 110 : 102 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2017.04.13 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 105 : 111 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.04.10 | Denver Nuggets | 105 : 106 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2017.01.08 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 121 : 106 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.10.19 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 97 : 87 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.04.06 | Denver Nuggets | 102 : 124 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2016.01.20 | Denver Nuggets | 104 : 110 | Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2015.12.28 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 122 : 112 | Denver Nuggets |