Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
106 : 812015.10.17 · 종료
Phoenix SunsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.6%
VALUE EDGE+64.6%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADES
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsPhoenix Suns
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+1.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.92
229.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
227.25
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation12.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
W · 103-114W · 112-94W · 86-96L · 103-96
Phoenix Suns
W · 101-85W · 102-98
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.31 | Phoenix Suns | 120 : 127 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2021.08.13 | Denver Nuggets | 84 : 90 | Phoenix Suns |
| 2020.02.09 | Phoenix Suns | 108 : 117 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.12.24 | Phoenix Suns | 111 : 113 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.11.25 | Denver Nuggets | 116 : 104 | Phoenix Suns |
| 2019.10.15 | Phoenix Suns | 102 : 107 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.01.29 | Phoenix Suns | 112 : 123 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.01.27 | Denver Nuggets | 127 : 120 | Phoenix Suns |
| 2016.11.28 | Phoenix Suns | 114 : 120 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.11.17 | Denver Nuggets | 120 : 104 | Phoenix Suns |