Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Golden State WarriorsHOME · -
103 : 1142015.10.14 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Golden State WarriorsAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
232.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
229.75
87.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Golden State Warriors
L · 118-101W · 95-87
Denver Nuggets
W · 112-94W · 86-96L · 103-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.27 | Denver Nuggets | 114 : 134 | Golden State Warriors |
| 2020.03.04 | Denver Nuggets | 100 : 116 | Golden State Warriors |
| 2017.02.14 | Denver Nuggets | 132 : 110 | Golden State Warriors |
| 2017.01.03 | Golden State Warriors | 127 : 119 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.11.11 | Denver Nuggets | 101 : 125 | Golden State Warriors |
| 2016.01.14 | Denver Nuggets | 112 : 110 | Golden State Warriors |
| 2015.11.23 | Denver Nuggets | 105 : 118 | Golden State Warriors |
| 2015.11.07 | Golden State Warriors | 119 : 104 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2015.10.14 | Golden State Warriors | 103 : 114 | Denver Nuggets |