Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Denver NuggetsHOME · -
112 : 942015.10.09 · 종료
Chicago BullsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.3%
VALUE EDGE+53.3%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Denver NuggetsAnalysis MetricsChicago Bulls
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+1.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.75
229.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
243.08
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation2.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Denver Nuggets
W · 86-96L · 103-96
Chicago Bulls
W · 105-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.12 | Denver Nuggets | 133 : 128 | Chicago Bulls |
| 2017.03.01 | Chicago Bulls | 107 : 125 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.11.23 | Denver Nuggets | 110 : 107 | Chicago Bulls |
| 2016.02.06 | Denver Nuggets | 115 : 110 | Chicago Bulls |
| 2015.12.03 | Chicago Bulls | 99 : 90 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2015.10.09 | Denver Nuggets | 112 : 94 | Chicago Bulls |