Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBA
USA
Dallas MavericksHOME · -
86 : 962015.10.07 · 종료
Denver NuggetsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.7%
VALUE EDGE+62.7%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
Dallas MavericksAnalysis MetricsDenver Nuggets
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.25
226.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
229.75
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dallas Mavericks
Collecting Data
Denver Nuggets
L · 103-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.03.12 | Dallas Mavericks | 113 : 97 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2020.01.09 | Dallas Mavericks | 106 : 107 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2019.10.30 | Denver Nuggets | 106 : 109 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2017.04.12 | Dallas Mavericks | 91 : 109 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2017.02.07 | Denver Nuggets | 110 : 87 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2016.12.20 | Denver Nuggets | 117 : 107 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2016.12.13 | Dallas Mavericks | 112 : 92 | Denver Nuggets |
| 2016.10.22 | Denver Nuggets | 101 : 75 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2016.03.29 | Denver Nuggets | 88 : 97 | Dallas Mavericks |
| 2015.11.29 | Dallas Mavericks | 92 : 81 | Denver Nuggets |