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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Euroleague Women Europe · Euroleague Women - Semi-finals
Fenerbahce WHOME · -
68 : 742016.04.16 · 종료
Nadezhda WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.7%
VALUE EDGE+58.7%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
Fenerbahce WAnalysis MetricsNadezhda W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+18.67 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92
153.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.08
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation7.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Fenerbahce W
W · 63-79W · 79-70W · 60-71L · 60-66W · 64-59
Nadezhda W
W · 70-73W · 78-68L · 63-70L · 54-51W · 67-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.16Fenerbahce W68 : 74Nadezhda W