경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

First League Macedonia · Regular Season - 6

Vardar SkopjeHOME · 1.21

2 : 02026.09.08 · 종료

AresimiAWAY · 10.00

HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 7 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 7 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.1%

DRAW15.7%

AWAY16.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH76 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 76/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +7.1%

VALUE EDGE+7.1%

FAIR ODDS6.17

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 86/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +14.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +15.6%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +3.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -25.0%p

MARKET HOME +65.8%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Vardar Skopje분석 지표Aresimi

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

2.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.00

1.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.33

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 37.5%

4.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 9.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

76/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지15.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도11.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME74.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승91.7%표본 24경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승39.9%현재 이동 +8.5%

OPEN → NOW1.12 → 1.21배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

68.1%

DRAW

15.7%

AWAY

16.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Vardar Skopje

W · 0-5D · 1-1W · 4-1L · 1-0L · 0-2

Aresimi

D · 0-0W · 0-2W · 1-0L · 4-0L · 5-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.13

→

CURRENT1.21

+7.15%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN6.79

→

CURRENT5.64

-16.96%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN15.31

→

CURRENT10.11

-33.95%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-07 11:32:06	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 11:42:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 11:52:08	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 12:02:08	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 12:12:06	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 12:22:06	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 12:32:06	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 12:42:05	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 12:52:08	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 13:02:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 13:12:06	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 13:22:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 13:32:06	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 13:42:06	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 13:52:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 14:02:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 14:12:06	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 14:22:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 14:32:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 14:42:05	1.13	6.73	15.25
2026-09-07 14:42:06	1.10	6.95	15.50
2026-09-07 14:52:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 15:02:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 15:12:06	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 15:22:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 15:32:07	1.13	6.79	15.31
2026-09-07 15:42:06	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 15:52:08	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 16:02:07	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 16:12:06	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 16:22:07	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 16:32:07	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 16:42:06	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 16:52:07	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 17:02:07	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 17:12:06	1.19	5.78	11.58
2026-09-07 17:12:07	1.19	5.64	11.56
2026-09-07 17:22:07	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 17:32:07	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 17:42:06	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 17:52:08	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 18:02:06	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 18:12:06	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 18:22:08	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 18:32:07	1.19	5.71	11.57
2026-09-07 18:42:07	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 18:52:09	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 19:02:09	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 19:12:08	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 19:22:10	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 19:32:09	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 19:42:08	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 19:52:09	1.30	4.69	8.40
2026-09-07 19:52:10	1.29	4.82	8.10
2026-09-07 20:02:08	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 20:12:08	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 20:22:09	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 20:32:08	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 20:42:07	1.29	4.60	8.75
2026-09-07 20:42:08	1.29	4.81	8.09
2026-09-07 20:52:09	1.29	4.75	8.21
2026-09-07 20:52:10	1.29	5.00	8.20
2026-09-07 21:02:08	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 21:12:08	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 21:22:10	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 21:32:09	1.29	4.77	8.21
2026-09-07 21:42:09	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 21:52:10	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 22:02:08	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 22:12:10	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 22:22:11	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 22:32:10	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 22:42:09	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 22:52:11	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 23:02:08	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 23:12:08	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 23:22:10	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 23:32:10	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 23:42:08	1.21	5.64	10.11
2026-09-07 23:52:09	1.21	5.64	10.11

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.08	Vardar Skopje	2 : 0	Aresimi