경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
First League
Bulgaria · Regular Season - 8

Spartak VarnaHOME · 5.85
1 : 12026.09.06 · 종료
CSKA SofiaAWAY · 1.53

HOME · 현재 순위
8위
승점 8
· 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
3위
승점 16
· 6경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.9%
DRAW22.8%
AWAY61.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME16.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승9.1%표본 11경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승40.5%현재 이동 +7.8%
OPEN → NOW5.43 → 5.85배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:42:13
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Spartak VarnaD · 1-1L · 6-0L · 0-1L · 3-2W · 1-0
CSKA SofiaW · 3-1L · 0-2L · 3-0W · 5-0L · 1-3
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME49 SNAPSHOTS
+4.56%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW49 SNAPSHOTS
+2.04%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY49 SNAPSHOTS
-0.73%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-04 00:15:30 | 5.49 | 3.93 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-04 12:15:32 | 5.41 | 3.84 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 00:12:32 | 5.62 | 3.89 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 00:12:33 | 5.13 | 3.81 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 00:42:34 | 5.47 | 3.88 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 01:12:35 | 5.47 | 3.88 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 01:42:31 | 5.46 | 3.87 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 01:42:32 | 5.60 | 4.00 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 02:12:28 | 5.47 | 3.88 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 02:42:29 | 5.47 | 3.88 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 03:12:29 | 5.47 | 3.88 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 03:42:27 | 5.51 | 3.89 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 04:12:26 | 5.51 | 3.89 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 04:52:31 | 5.51 | 3.89 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 05:32:28 | 5.52 | 3.88 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 05:32:29 | 5.47 | 3.94 | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-05 06:12:29 | 5.51 | 3.89 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 06:52:30 | 5.51 | 3.89 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 07:32:27 | 5.51 | 3.89 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 08:12:30 | 5.51 | 3.89 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 08:52:32 | 5.51 | 3.86 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 08:52:33 | 5.50 | 3.96 | 1.58 |
| 2026-09-05 09:42:02 | 5.51 | 3.90 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 10:22:02 | 5.51 | 3.90 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 11:02:04 | 5.51 | 3.90 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 11:42:04 | 5.52 | 3.85 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 11:42:05 | 5.51 | 3.94 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 12:22:05 | 5.51 | 3.90 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 13:02:04 | 5.51 | 3.90 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 13:42:03 | 5.51 | 3.90 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 14:22:05 | 5.52 | 3.85 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 14:22:06 | 5.51 | 3.94 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 15:02:07 | 5.51 | 3.90 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-05 15:42:05 | 5.67 | 3.97 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 16:22:14 | 5.67 | 3.97 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 17:02:05 | 5.67 | 3.97 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 17:42:10 | 5.67 | 3.97 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 18:22:17 | 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-09-05 18:22:18 | 5.80 | 4.03 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 19:02:18 | 5.67 | 3.97 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 19:42:14 | 5.67 | 3.97 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 20:22:08 | 5.67 | 3.97 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 21:02:16 | 5.38 | 3.85 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 21:02:17 | 5.81 | 4.03 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 21:42:04 | 5.74 | 4.01 | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 22:22:18 | 5.38 | 3.85 | 1.54 |
| 2026-09-05 22:22:19 | 5.92 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 23:02:11 | 5.74 | 4.01 | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 23:42:13 | 5.74 | 4.01 | 1.53 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.06 | Spartak Varna | 1 : 1 | CSKA Sofia |