경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

First League Bulgaria · Regular Season - 8

Arda KardzhaliHOME · 2.08

2 : 32026.09.05 · 종료

Botev PlovdivAWAY · 3.50

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 16 · 8경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 10 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.3%

DRAW14.0%

AWAY5.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM58 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 58/100

AI PICK HOME 56.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +35.9%

VALUE EDGE+35.9%

FAIR ODDS1.25

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 100/100 · HIGH RISK

STANDING_PPG HOME +13.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +20.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -5.5%p

MARKET HOME +18.0%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Arda Kardzhali분석 지표Botev Plovdiv

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

58/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지11.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.1 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승46.0%표본 139경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 -0.5%

OPEN → NOW2.09 → 2.08배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:20

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

80.3%

DRAW

14.0%

AWAY

5.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Arda Kardzhali

W · 2-0W · 0-1W · 3-1W · 0-2L · 2-1

Botev Plovdiv

L · 1-3L · 1-0L · 2-0W · 3-2W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.10

→

CURRENT2.10

+0.09%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.19

→

CURRENT3.13

-1.70%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.44

→

CURRENT3.45

+0.24%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 02:12:17	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 02:22:17	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 02:32:17	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 02:42:16	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 02:52:17	2.12	3.14	3.39
2026-09-04 02:52:18	2.08	3.22	3.48
2026-09-04 03:02:16	2.10	3.18	3.41
2026-09-04 03:02:17	2.07	3.20	3.53
2026-09-04 03:12:16	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 03:22:18	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 03:32:16	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 03:42:16	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 03:52:16	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 04:12:16	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 04:32:16	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 04:52:18	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 05:12:16	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 05:32:16	2.12	3.14	3.39
2026-09-04 05:32:17	2.08	3.22	3.48
2026-09-04 05:52:18	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 06:12:15	2.10	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 06:12:16	2.06	3.23	3.55
2026-09-04 06:32:17	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 06:52:18	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 07:12:17	2.11	3.16	3.38
2026-09-04 07:12:18	2.08	3.21	3.51
2026-09-04 07:32:15	2.10	3.19	3.44
2026-09-04 07:52:17	2.08	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 08:12:17	2.08	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 08:32:18	2.08	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 08:52:18	2.08	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 09:12:18	2.08	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 09:32:18	2.08	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 09:52:18	2.08	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 10:12:16	2.08	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 10:32:17	2.08	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 10:52:17	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 11:12:16	2.10	3.15	3.39
2026-09-04 11:12:17	2.09	3.20	3.50
2026-09-04 11:32:17	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 11:52:17	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 12:12:16	2.10	3.14	3.37
2026-09-04 12:12:17	2.10	3.18	3.51
2026-09-04 12:32:18	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 12:52:17	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 13:12:16	2.10	3.18	3.42
2026-09-04 13:12:17	2.09	3.11	3.40
2026-09-04 13:32:16	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 13:52:17	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 14:12:15	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 14:32:18	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 14:52:18	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 15:12:16	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 15:32:17	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 15:52:17	2.10	3.18	3.39
2026-09-04 15:52:18	2.10	3.13	3.44
2026-09-04 16:12:15	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 16:32:17	2.10	3.15	3.41
2026-09-04 16:52:17	2.01	3.18	3.63
2026-09-04 17:12:17	2.01	3.18	3.63
2026-09-04 17:32:18	2.01	3.18	3.63
2026-09-04 17:52:20	2.01	3.18	3.63
2026-09-04 18:12:16	2.01	3.18	3.63
2026-09-04 18:32:18	2.01	3.18	3.63
2026-09-04 18:52:18	2.01	3.18	3.63
2026-09-04 19:12:18	2.01	3.18	3.63
2026-09-04 19:32:16	2.01	3.18	3.63
2026-09-04 19:52:19	2.01	3.18	3.65
2026-09-04 20:12:17	2.01	3.18	3.65
2026-09-04 20:32:18	2.01	3.17	3.63
2026-09-04 20:32:19	2.00	3.25	3.75
2026-09-04 20:52:18	2.01	3.18	3.65
2026-09-04 21:12:17	2.01	3.18	3.65
2026-09-04 21:32:18	2.01	3.18	3.65
2026-09-04 21:52:19	2.01	3.18	3.65
2026-09-04 22:12:17	2.01	3.17	3.63
2026-09-04 22:12:18	2.00	3.25	3.75
2026-09-04 22:32:18	2.01	3.18	3.65
2026-09-04 23:32:18	2.10	3.13	3.45
2026-09-04 23:52:20	2.10	3.13	3.45

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Arda Kardzhali	2 : 3	Botev Plovdiv
2026.06.26	Botev Plovdiv	2 : 1	Arda Kardzhali