경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Liga MX Mexico · Apertura - 7

PueblaHOME · 5.60

0 : 12026.09.16 · 종료

TolucaAWAY · 1.50

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 10 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 13 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.6%

DRAW22.0%

AWAY42.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM59 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 59/100

AI PICK AWAY 36.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +18.9%

VALUE EDGE+18.9%

FAIR ODDS2.81

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 43/100 · MEDIUM RISK

STANDING_PPG AWAY -12.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +4.6%p

MARKET AWAY -45.5%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Puebla분석 지표Toluca

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.17

1.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.08

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

59/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지11.7 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도13.0 / 15

예측 분리도2.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME16.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승19.2%표본 26경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승33.1%현재 이동 +23.6%

OPEN → NOW4.53 → 5.60배당 업데이트 2026-09-16 23:52:08

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

35.6%

DRAW

22.0%

AWAY

42.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Puebla

W · 0-1L · 2-0W · 3-2W · 2-3L · 3-2

Toluca

W · 5-2W · 2-0W · 2-0W · 4-0W · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.48

→

CURRENT5.57

+1.66%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.33

→

CURRENT4.38

+1.10%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.52

→

CURRENT1.49

-1.68%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-16 01:02:05	5.48	4.33	1.52
2026-09-16 01:12:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 01:22:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 01:32:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 01:42:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 01:52:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 02:02:04	5.42	4.26	1.51
2026-09-16 02:02:05	5.48	4.33	1.52
2026-09-16 02:12:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 02:22:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 02:32:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 02:42:05	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 02:52:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 03:12:04	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 03:32:05	5.44	4.29	1.52
2026-09-16 03:52:06	5.24	4.20	1.55
2026-09-16 04:12:06	5.24	4.20	1.55
2026-09-16 04:32:07	5.24	4.20	1.55
2026-09-16 04:52:06	5.24	4.20	1.55
2026-09-16 05:12:06	5.24	4.20	1.55
2026-09-16 05:32:06	5.20	4.17	1.55
2026-09-16 05:32:07	5.31	4.25	1.55
2026-09-16 05:52:06	5.20	4.17	1.55
2026-09-16 05:52:07	5.31	4.25	1.55
2026-09-16 06:12:06	5.24	4.20	1.55
2026-09-16 06:32:06	5.24	4.20	1.55
2026-09-16 06:52:08	5.33	4.28	1.53
2026-09-16 07:12:06	5.33	4.28	1.53
2026-09-16 07:32:08	5.33	4.28	1.53
2026-09-16 07:52:07	5.33	4.28	1.53
2026-09-16 08:12:06	5.33	4.28	1.53
2026-09-16 08:32:06	5.33	4.28	1.53
2026-09-16 08:52:07	5.33	4.28	1.53
2026-09-16 09:12:06	5.33	4.28	1.53
2026-09-16 09:32:06	5.33	4.28	1.53
2026-09-16 09:52:07	5.52	4.34	1.49
2026-09-16 09:52:08	6.00	4.70	1.55
2026-09-16 10:12:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 10:32:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 10:52:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 11:12:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 11:32:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 11:52:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 12:12:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 12:32:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 12:52:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 13:12:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 13:32:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 13:52:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 14:12:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 14:32:08	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 14:52:08	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 15:12:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 15:32:09	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 15:52:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 16:12:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 16:32:08	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 16:52:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 17:12:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 17:32:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 17:52:09	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 18:12:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 18:32:08	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 18:52:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 19:12:05	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 19:32:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 19:52:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 20:12:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 20:32:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 20:52:07	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 21:12:06	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 21:32:07	5.56	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 21:32:08	5.60	4.38	1.51
2026-09-16 21:52:08	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 22:12:14	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 22:32:08	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 22:52:09	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 23:12:08	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 23:32:09	5.57	4.38	1.49
2026-09-16 23:52:08	5.57	4.38	1.49

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Puebla	0 : 1	Toluca