경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Liga MX Mexico · Apertura - 6

TolucaHOME · 1.28

4 : 02026.08.31 · 종료

FC JuarezAWAY · 8.75

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 10 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 18위 승점 0 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.2%

DRAW9.5%

AWAY6.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 56.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +10.8%

VALUE EDGE+10.8%

FAIR ODDS1.19

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +20.6%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +12.5%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +28.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +12.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Toluca분석 지표FC Juarez

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

2.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.08

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.17

83.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.9일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.9 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME73.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승66.7%표본 18경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.8%현재 이동 +0.8%

OPEN → NOW1.27 → 1.28배당 업데이트 2026-08-31 23:42:31

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

84.2%

DRAW

9.5%

AWAY

6.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Toluca

W · 2-0W · 1-2D · 0-0W · 3-1L · 0-1

FC Juarez

L · 1-2L · 6-1L · 3-0W · 1-3W · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.28

→

CURRENT1.28

-0.06%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.79

→

CURRENT5.75

-0.63%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN8.83

→

CURRENT8.64

-2.16%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-31 13:52:43	1.28	5.79	8.83
2026-08-31 14:02:28	1.27	5.72	8.71
2026-08-31 14:02:29	1.31	5.95	8.25
2026-08-31 14:12:29	1.27	5.72	8.71
2026-08-31 14:12:30	1.31	5.95	8.25
2026-08-31 14:22:57	1.27	5.72	8.71
2026-08-31 14:22:58	1.31	5.95	8.25
2026-08-31 14:32:47	1.27	5.72	8.70
2026-08-31 14:32:48	1.30	5.80	8.54
2026-08-31 14:42:23	1.27	5.72	8.71
2026-08-31 14:42:24	1.31	5.95	8.25
2026-08-31 14:52:42	1.27	5.45	8.00
2026-08-31 14:52:43	1.28	5.81	8.75
2026-08-31 15:02:38	1.26	5.67	8.55
2026-08-31 15:02:39	1.29	5.83	8.71
2026-08-31 15:12:22	1.28	5.75	8.64
2026-08-31 15:22:54	1.27	5.69	8.56
2026-08-31 15:22:55	1.30	5.90	8.81
2026-08-31 15:32:35	1.27	5.72	8.70
2026-08-31 15:32:36	1.30	5.80	8.54
2026-08-31 15:42:32	1.27	5.72	8.70
2026-08-31 15:42:33	1.30	5.80	8.54
2026-08-31 15:52:49	1.28	5.63	8.20
2026-08-31 15:52:50	1.28	5.81	8.83
2026-08-31 16:02:46	1.26	5.68	8.69
2026-08-31 16:02:47	1.30	5.84	8.58
2026-08-31 16:12:30	1.26	5.67	8.55
2026-08-31 16:12:31	1.29	5.83	8.71
2026-08-31 16:12:37	1.28	5.63	8.20
2026-08-31 16:12:38	1.28	5.81	8.83
2026-08-31 16:23:07	1.26	5.67	8.55
2026-08-31 16:23:08	1.29	5.83	8.71
2026-08-31 16:23:25	1.28	5.63	8.20
2026-08-31 16:23:26	1.28	5.79	8.88
2026-08-31 16:23:27	1.31	6.00	8.40
2026-08-31 16:33:19	1.27	5.45	8.00
2026-08-31 16:33:20	1.28	5.81	8.75
2026-08-31 16:42:26	1.28	5.63	8.00
2026-08-31 16:42:27	1.28	5.79	8.83
2026-08-31 16:52:58	1.28	5.75	8.64
2026-08-31 17:02:43	1.28	5.75	8.64
2026-08-31 17:12:48	1.26	5.67	8.55
2026-08-31 17:12:49	1.29	5.83	8.71
2026-08-31 17:23:03	1.28	5.63	8.00
2026-08-31 17:23:04	1.28	5.79	8.83
2026-08-31 17:32:42	1.28	5.75	8.64
2026-08-31 17:42:35	1.28	5.75	8.64
2026-08-31 17:52:59	1.27	5.72	8.70
2026-08-31 17:53:00	1.30	5.80	8.54
2026-08-31 18:02:42	1.28	5.75	8.64
2026-08-31 18:22:52	1.28	5.63	8.00
2026-08-31 18:22:53	1.28	5.79	8.83
2026-08-31 18:42:35	1.28	5.63	8.00
2026-08-31 18:42:36	1.28	5.79	8.83
2026-08-31 19:02:49	1.27	5.72	8.70
2026-08-31 19:02:50	1.30	5.80	8.54
2026-08-31 19:23:16	1.27	5.72	8.70
2026-08-31 19:23:17	1.30	5.80	8.54
2026-08-31 19:42:37	1.27	5.60	8.36
2026-08-31 19:42:38	1.28	5.85	8.81
2026-08-31 20:02:47	1.27	5.60	8.36
2026-08-31 20:02:48	1.28	5.85	8.81
2026-08-31 20:22:55	1.28	5.63	8.00
2026-08-31 20:22:56	1.28	5.79	8.83
2026-08-31 20:42:50	1.27	5.60	8.36
2026-08-31 20:42:51	1.28	5.85	8.81
2026-08-31 21:02:44	1.28	5.75	8.64
2026-08-31 21:22:58	1.28	5.63	8.00
2026-08-31 21:22:59	1.28	5.79	8.83
2026-08-31 21:42:37	1.27	5.72	8.70
2026-08-31 21:42:38	1.30	5.80	8.54
2026-08-31 22:03:04	1.28	5.75	8.64
2026-08-31 22:23:00	1.28	5.73	8.66
2026-08-31 22:23:01	1.31	6.00	8.40
2026-08-31 22:42:39	1.28	5.75	8.64
2026-08-31 23:03:10	1.26	5.67	8.55
2026-08-31 23:03:11	1.29	5.83	8.71
2026-08-31 23:22:52	1.26	5.68	8.69
2026-08-31 23:22:53	1.30	5.84	8.58
2026-08-31 23:42:31	1.28	5.75	8.64

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.31	Toluca	4 : 0	FC Juarez