경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera División
Bolivia · Apertura - 18

Independiente PetroleroHOME · 4.80
0 : 42026.09.07 · 종료
BolívarAWAY · 1.54

HOME · 현재 순위
8위
승점 25
· 17경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
1위
승점 36
· 17경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME17.6%
DRAW19.8%
AWAY62.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승25.4%표본 59경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.5%현재 이동 -5.9%
OPEN → NOW5.10 → 4.80배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 20:53:15
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Independiente PetroleroL · 3-0W · 3-1L · 3-0W · 5-2W · 1-0
BolívarW · 0-1W · 4-2W · 4-1W · 2-4L · 3-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME45 SNAPSHOTS
-6.50%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW45 SNAPSHOTS
-0.78%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY45 SNAPSHOTS
+2.80%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-05 06:15:14 | 5.08 | 4.28 | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-05 18:16:07 | 5.00 | 4.32 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-05 18:16:11 | 5.00 | 4.32 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 00:13:25 | 5.00 | 4.32 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 00:44:21 | 4.93 | 4.27 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 00:44:22 | 5.11 | 4.40 | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-06 01:12:56 | 5.00 | 4.32 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 03:52:23 | 4.98 | 4.30 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 04:22:30 | 4.92 | 4.25 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 04:22:31 | 5.08 | 4.38 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 04:52:25 | 4.98 | 4.30 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 05:22:27 | 4.98 | 4.30 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 05:52:42 | 4.92 | 4.25 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 05:52:43 | 5.08 | 4.38 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 06:22:32 | 4.98 | 4.30 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 06:52:35 | 4.98 | 4.30 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 07:22:57 | 4.88 | 4.25 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 07:22:58 | 4.91 | 4.29 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 07:52:40 | 4.90 | 4.28 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 08:22:56 | 4.92 | 4.25 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 08:22:57 | 4.88 | 4.31 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 08:52:53 | 4.90 | 4.28 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 09:22:57 | 4.90 | 4.28 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 09:52:31 | 4.90 | 4.28 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 10:22:51 | 4.88 | 4.25 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 10:22:52 | 4.86 | 4.29 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 10:52:40 | 4.87 | 4.28 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 11:22:52 | 4.88 | 4.25 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 11:22:53 | 4.86 | 4.29 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 11:52:34 | 4.87 | 4.28 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 12:22:53 | 4.92 | 4.25 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-06 12:22:54 | 4.82 | 4.31 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 12:52:50 | 4.87 | 4.28 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 13:22:41 | 4.83 | 4.28 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 13:52:47 | 4.88 | 4.25 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 13:52:48 | 4.78 | 4.31 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 14:22:47 | 4.83 | 4.28 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 14:52:55 | 4.86 | 4.29 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 14:52:56 | 4.78 | 4.26 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 18:23:14 | 4.82 | 4.22 | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-06 18:23:15 | 4.78 | 4.28 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-06 18:53:30 | 4.80 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-06 19:33:14 | 4.80 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-06 20:12:58 | 4.75 | 4.24 | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-06 20:53:15 | 4.75 | 4.24 | 1.53 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.10.05 | Independiente Petrolero | 0 : 3 | Bolívar |
| 2026.09.11 | Bolívar | 1 : 1 | Independiente Petrolero |
| 2026.09.07 | Independiente Petrolero | 0 : 4 | Bolívar |
| 2026.04.22 | Bolívar | 1 : 2 | Independiente Petrolero |