경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 6

FC TokyoHOME · 1.54

2 : 02026.09.06 · 종료

Kyoto SangaAWAY · 5.76

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 8 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 15위 승점 5 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.9%

DRAW19.6%

AWAY11.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH92 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +7.5%

VALUE EDGE+7.5%

FAIR ODDS1.45

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +20.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +19.4%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +9.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +12.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

FC Tokyo분석 지표Kyoto Sanga

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

2.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.08

0.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

71.4% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

92/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.6 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME61.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승64.9%표본 57경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.2%현재 이동 -6.7%

OPEN → NOW1.65 → 1.54배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:52:06

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

68.9%

DRAW

19.6%

AWAY

11.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

FC Tokyo

D · 1-1W · 0-3W · 6-0L · 0-1W · 2-1

Kyoto Sanga

D · 1-1W · 2-1W · 1-0L · 1-4W · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME74 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.64

→

CURRENT1.53

-6.65%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW74 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.82

→

CURRENT4.23

+10.78%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY74 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.98

→

CURRENT5.64

+13.20%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:34	1.64	3.82	4.98
2026-09-05 12:15:37	1.64	3.89	5.09
2026-09-06 00:03:22	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 00:34:07	1.63	3.83	5.04
2026-09-06 00:34:08	1.65	4.06	5.20
2026-09-06 01:02:29	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 01:33:14	1.64	3.88	5.06
2026-09-06 01:33:15	1.65	4.01	5.22
2026-09-06 02:02:29	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 02:02:31	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 02:33:08	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 02:33:14	1.65	3.70	4.80
2026-09-06 02:33:15	1.64	3.95	5.15
2026-09-06 03:03:20	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 03:33:20	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 04:03:03	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 04:33:20	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 05:12:03	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 05:42:03	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 06:12:02	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 06:42:03	1.64	3.70	5.03
2026-09-06 06:42:04	1.64	4.01	5.12
2026-09-06 07:12:03	1.64	3.70	5.03
2026-09-06 07:12:04	1.64	4.01	5.12
2026-09-06 07:42:03	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 08:12:02	1.64	3.88	5.06
2026-09-06 08:12:03	1.65	4.01	5.22
2026-09-06 08:42:03	1.65	3.70	4.80
2026-09-06 08:42:04	1.64	3.95	5.15
2026-09-06 09:12:03	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 09:42:03	1.63	3.83	5.04
2026-09-06 09:42:04	1.65	4.06	5.20
2026-09-06 10:12:03	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 10:42:03	1.64	3.91	5.09
2026-09-06 11:12:04	1.64	3.91	5.10
2026-09-06 11:42:03	1.64	3.91	5.10
2026-09-06 12:12:02	1.64	3.91	5.10
2026-09-06 12:42:03	1.64	3.91	5.10
2026-09-06 13:12:02	1.64	3.70	5.03
2026-09-06 13:12:03	1.64	4.02	5.14
2026-09-06 13:42:03	1.64	3.91	5.10
2026-09-06 14:12:04	1.64	3.91	5.10
2026-09-06 14:42:03	1.64	3.70	5.03
2026-09-06 14:42:04	1.64	4.02	5.14
2026-09-06 15:12:03	1.63	3.77	5.05
2026-09-06 15:12:04	1.65	4.05	5.15
2026-09-06 15:42:03	1.65	3.70	4.80
2026-09-06 15:42:04	1.64	3.95	5.16
2026-09-06 16:12:04	1.64	3.91	5.10
2026-09-06 16:42:04	1.63	3.77	5.05
2026-09-06 16:42:05	1.65	4.05	5.15
2026-09-06 17:12:07	1.62	3.80	4.80
2026-09-06 17:12:08	1.61	4.09	5.16
2026-09-06 17:42:06	1.62	3.80	4.80
2026-09-06 17:42:07	1.61	4.08	5.15
2026-09-06 17:42:08	1.63	4.14	5.22
2026-09-06 18:12:04	1.62	3.80	4.80
2026-09-06 18:12:05	1.61	4.09	5.16
2026-09-06 18:42:10	1.62	4.04	5.10
2026-09-06 19:22:06	1.62	3.78	4.90
2026-09-06 19:22:07	1.61	4.17	5.20
2026-09-06 20:02:12	1.53	4.23	5.64
2026-09-06 20:42:12	1.53	4.22	5.60
2026-09-06 20:42:13	1.56	4.30	5.83
2026-09-06 21:22:05	1.52	4.07	5.57
2026-09-06 21:22:06	1.54	4.40	5.71
2026-09-06 21:52:06	1.53	4.00	5.50
2026-09-06 21:52:07	1.54	4.35	5.71
2026-09-06 22:22:08	1.52	4.07	5.57
2026-09-06 22:22:09	1.54	4.40	5.71
2026-09-06 22:52:05	1.53	4.00	5.50
2026-09-06 22:52:06	1.54	4.35	5.71
2026-09-06 23:22:08	1.53	4.23	5.64
2026-09-06 23:52:06	1.53	4.23	5.64

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	FC Tokyo	2 : 0	Kyoto Sanga
2025.08.24	FC Tokyo	0 : 4	Kyoto Sanga
2025.05.31	Kyoto Sanga	3 : 0	FC Tokyo
2024.08.24	Kyoto Sanga	3 : 0	FC Tokyo
2024.05.03	FC Tokyo	2 : 1	Kyoto Sanga