경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 6
Vissel KobeHOME · 1.60
3 : 12026.09.06 · 종료
V-varen NagasakiAWAY · 5.57
HOME · 현재 순위
5위
승점 10
· 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
18위
승점 4
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.3%
DRAW14.2%
AWAY6.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME58.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승60.3%표본 58경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승49.1%현재 이동 -3.3%
OPEN → NOW1.65 → 1.60배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:52:09
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Vissel KobeW · 0-2W · 1-0W · 2-1W · 2-1D · 1-1
V-varen NagasakiD · 2-2L · 0-3W · 3-2L · 3-2L · 3-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME66 SNAPSHOTS
-3.69%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW66 SNAPSHOTS
+7.00%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY66 SNAPSHOTS
+6.90%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-05 00:15:35 | 1.66 | 3.63 | 5.18 |
| 2026-09-05 12:15:38 | 1.67 | 3.66 | 5.21 |
| 2026-09-06 00:03:23 | 1.66 | 3.55 | 5.00 |
| 2026-09-06 00:03:24 | 1.68 | 3.72 | 5.34 |
| 2026-09-06 00:34:10 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 01:02:30 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 01:33:17 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 02:02:30 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 02:12:02 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 02:33:10 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 02:42:02 | 1.66 | 3.61 | 5.18 |
| 2026-09-06 02:42:03 | 1.69 | 3.77 | 5.33 |
| 2026-09-06 03:12:02 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 03:42:03 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 04:12:03 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 04:42:02 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 05:12:04 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 05:42:05 | 1.66 | 3.58 | 5.07 |
| 2026-09-06 05:42:06 | 1.68 | 3.75 | 5.38 |
| 2026-09-06 06:12:02 | 1.67 | 3.67 | 5.23 |
| 2026-09-06 06:42:05 | 1.67 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| 2026-09-06 06:42:06 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 5.27 |
| 2026-09-06 07:12:05 | 1.66 | 3.55 | 5.00 |
| 2026-09-06 07:12:06 | 1.68 | 3.72 | 5.34 |
| 2026-09-06 07:42:06 | 1.67 | 3.65 | 5.21 |
| 2026-09-06 07:42:07 | 1.69 | 3.74 | 5.32 |
| 2026-09-06 08:12:04 | 1.66 | 3.69 | 5.26 |
| 2026-09-06 08:42:07 | 1.66 | 3.55 | 5.00 |
| 2026-09-06 08:42:08 | 1.66 | 3.75 | 5.38 |
| 2026-09-06 09:12:04 | 1.66 | 3.69 | 5.26 |
| 2026-09-06 09:42:06 | 1.65 | 3.63 | 5.19 |
| 2026-09-06 09:42:07 | 1.68 | 3.79 | 5.39 |
| 2026-09-06 10:12:04 | 1.66 | 3.69 | 5.26 |
| 2026-09-06 10:42:05 | 1.66 | 3.69 | 5.26 |
| 2026-09-06 11:12:07 | 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.20 |
| 2026-09-06 11:12:08 | 1.68 | 3.82 | 5.45 |
| 2026-09-06 11:42:06 | 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.28 |
| 2026-09-06 12:12:02 | 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.28 |
| 2026-09-06 12:42:08 | 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.28 |
| 2026-09-06 13:12:03 | 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.28 |
| 2026-09-06 13:42:05 | 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.28 |
| 2026-09-06 14:12:06 | 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.28 |
| 2026-09-06 14:42:06 | 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.20 |
| 2026-09-06 14:42:07 | 1.68 | 3.82 | 5.45 |
| 2026-09-06 15:12:06 | 1.65 | 3.64 | 5.20 |
| 2026-09-06 15:12:07 | 1.68 | 3.82 | 5.45 |
| 2026-09-06 15:42:04 | 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.28 |
| 2026-09-06 16:12:06 | 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.28 |
| 2026-09-06 16:42:07 | 1.66 | 3.55 | 5.00 |
| 2026-09-06 16:42:08 | 1.66 | 3.77 | 5.42 |
| 2026-09-06 18:12:09 | 1.68 | 3.67 | 5.15 |
| 2026-09-06 18:42:20 | 1.68 | 3.67 | 5.15 |
| 2026-09-06 19:22:13 | 1.67 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| 2026-09-06 19:22:14 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 5.16 |
| 2026-09-06 19:22:15 | 1.70 | 3.72 | 5.26 |
| 2026-09-06 20:02:19 | 1.66 | 3.62 | 5.10 |
| 2026-09-06 20:02:20 | 1.71 | 3.77 | 5.26 |
| 2026-09-06 20:42:16 | 1.66 | 3.62 | 5.10 |
| 2026-09-06 20:42:17 | 1.71 | 3.77 | 5.26 |
| 2026-09-06 21:22:09 | 1.60 | 3.89 | 5.54 |
| 2026-09-06 21:52:10 | 1.60 | 3.89 | 5.54 |
| 2026-09-06 22:22:12 | 1.59 | 3.88 | 5.52 |
| 2026-09-06 22:22:13 | 1.63 | 3.91 | 5.63 |
| 2026-09-06 22:52:09 | 1.60 | 3.89 | 5.54 |
| 2026-09-06 23:22:12 | 1.60 | 3.89 | 5.54 |
| 2026-09-06 23:52:09 | 1.60 | 3.89 | 5.54 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.06 | Vissel Kobe | 3 : 1 | V-varen Nagasaki |
| 2026.05.17 | V-varen Nagasaki | 2 : 2 | Vissel Kobe |
| 2026.02.13 | Vissel Kobe | 2 : 0 | V-varen Nagasaki |