경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 6

Cerezo OsakaHOME · 1.67

0 : 02026.09.06 · 종료

Tokyo VerdyAWAY · 5.03

HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 9 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 19위 승점 2 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.6%

DRAW12.0%

AWAY5.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH91 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 56.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +26.0%

VALUE EDGE+26.0%

FAIR ODDS1.21

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +44.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +41.7%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +19.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +18.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Cerezo Osaka분석 지표Tokyo Verdy

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.00

71.4% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

91/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.1 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME56.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승52.9%표본 102경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.2%현재 이동 -7.5%

OPEN → NOW1.81 → 1.67배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:52:05

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

82.6%

DRAW

12.0%

AWAY

5.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Cerezo Osaka

W · 2-0L · 1-0W · 3-1W · 1-0W · 1-0

Tokyo Verdy

L · 0-2L · 0-2W · 4-1L · 2-4D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME66 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.80

→

CURRENT1.67

-7.55%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW66 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.47

→

CURRENT3.83

+10.09%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY66 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.29

→

CURRENT5.00

+16.61%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:33	1.80	3.47	4.29
2026-09-05 00:15:34	1.85	3.60	4.50
2026-09-05 12:15:37	1.79	3.55	4.42
2026-09-06 00:03:21	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 00:34:05	1.78	3.35	4.35
2026-09-06 00:34:06	1.81	3.62	4.47
2026-09-06 01:02:29	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 01:33:14	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 02:02:29	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 02:02:31	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 02:33:08	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 02:33:14	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 03:03:19	1.79	3.51	4.41
2026-09-06 03:03:20	1.82	3.62	4.50
2026-09-06 03:33:19	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 04:03:02	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 04:33:19	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 05:03:01	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 05:33:24	1.78	3.35	4.35
2026-09-06 05:33:25	1.81	3.62	4.47
2026-09-06 06:02:59	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 06:33:33	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 07:03:20	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 07:33:39	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 08:02:59	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 08:33:54	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 09:02:51	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 09:33:42	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 10:02:30	1.80	3.53	4.43
2026-09-06 10:33:21	1.78	3.35	4.35
2026-09-06 10:33:22	1.81	3.62	4.47
2026-09-06 11:03:15	1.79	3.53	4.46
2026-09-06 11:33:48	1.79	3.53	4.46
2026-09-06 12:02:49	1.79	3.53	4.46
2026-09-06 12:34:11	1.78	3.35	4.35
2026-09-06 12:34:12	1.80	3.62	4.51
2026-09-06 13:02:58	1.79	3.53	4.46
2026-09-06 13:33:43	1.79	3.53	4.46
2026-09-06 14:12:03	1.79	3.53	4.46
2026-09-06 14:42:03	1.79	3.53	4.46
2026-09-06 15:12:02	1.78	3.45	4.43
2026-09-06 15:12:03	1.82	3.70	4.52
2026-09-06 15:42:03	1.79	3.53	4.46
2026-09-06 16:12:03	1.79	3.53	4.46
2026-09-06 16:42:03	1.79	3.50	4.45
2026-09-06 16:42:04	1.81	3.66	4.50
2026-09-06 17:12:06	1.79	3.55	4.45
2026-09-06 17:42:05	1.79	3.52	4.44
2026-09-06 17:42:06	1.81	3.66	4.50
2026-09-06 18:12:04	1.79	3.55	4.45
2026-09-06 18:42:08	1.78	3.47	4.43
2026-09-06 18:42:09	1.82	3.70	4.51
2026-09-06 19:22:05	1.77	3.46	4.37
2026-09-06 19:22:06	1.81	3.63	4.54
2026-09-06 20:02:10	1.66	3.80	4.99
2026-09-06 20:02:11	1.68	3.93	5.06
2026-09-06 20:42:09	1.65	3.71	4.85
2026-09-06 20:42:10	1.68	3.94	5.15
2026-09-06 21:22:04	1.65	3.71	4.85
2026-09-06 21:22:05	1.68	3.94	5.15
2026-09-06 21:52:05	1.66	3.74	4.95
2026-09-06 21:52:06	1.68	4.01	5.10
2026-09-06 22:22:07	1.67	3.83	5.00
2026-09-06 22:52:05	1.67	3.83	5.00
2026-09-06 23:22:07	1.67	3.83	5.00
2026-09-06 23:52:05	1.67	3.83	5.00

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Cerezo Osaka	0 : 0	Tokyo Verdy
2025.06.21	Cerezo Osaka	2 : 1	Tokyo Verdy
2025.04.25	Tokyo Verdy	1 : 0	Cerezo Osaka
2024.07.06	Tokyo Verdy	1 : 1	Cerezo Osaka
2024.03.09	Cerezo Osaka	2 : 1	Tokyo Verdy