경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 6

Fagiano OkayamaHOME · 3.68

3 : 22026.09.06 · 종료

Sanfrecce HiroshimaAWAY · 1.96

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 7 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 11 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.1%

DRAW27.2%

AWAY33.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 32.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +13.6%

VALUE EDGE+13.6%

FAIR ODDS2.56

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 77/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +5.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +11.1%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -12.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Fagiano Okayama분석 지표Sanfrecce Hiroshima

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 83.3%

1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.58

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.67

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 71.4%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.8 / 15

예측 분리도2.4 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승18.9%표본 74경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 -1.9%

OPEN → NOW3.75 → 3.68배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

39.1%

DRAW

27.2%

AWAY

33.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Fagiano Okayama

W · 1-2L · 2-1W · 3-0L · 3-1L · 2-0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

W · 3-0D · 0-0W · 4-1W · 4-0W · 1-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME69 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.68

→

CURRENT3.66

-0.54%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW69 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.50

→

CURRENT3.54

+1.05%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY69 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.91

→

CURRENT1.97

+3.24%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:34	3.68	3.50	1.91
2026-09-05 00:15:35	3.72	3.60	1.91
2026-09-05 12:15:38	3.77	3.60	1.91
2026-09-06 00:03:23	3.81	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 00:34:09	3.75	3.51	1.88
2026-09-06 00:34:10	3.87	3.74	1.92
2026-09-06 01:02:30	3.81	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 01:33:16	3.75	3.45	1.87
2026-09-06 01:33:17	3.84	3.71	1.92
2026-09-06 02:02:29	3.75	3.51	1.88
2026-09-06 02:02:30	3.87	3.74	1.92
2026-09-06 02:12:01	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 02:33:09	3.60	3.40	1.91
2026-09-06 02:33:10	3.85	3.67	1.90
2026-09-06 02:42:02	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 03:12:02	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 03:42:03	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 04:12:03	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 04:42:02	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 05:12:04	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 05:42:05	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 06:12:02	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 06:42:05	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 07:12:05	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 07:42:05	3.79	3.62	1.90
2026-09-06 08:12:04	3.83	3.61	1.90
2026-09-06 08:42:05	3.75	3.45	1.87
2026-09-06 08:42:06	3.88	3.69	1.91
2026-09-06 08:42:07	3.83	3.70	1.94
2026-09-06 09:12:04	3.83	3.61	1.90
2026-09-06 09:42:05	3.75	3.45	1.87
2026-09-06 09:42:06	3.87	3.69	1.92
2026-09-06 10:12:04	3.83	3.61	1.90
2026-09-06 10:42:04	3.75	3.45	1.87
2026-09-06 10:42:05	3.87	3.69	1.92
2026-09-06 11:12:06	3.83	3.62	1.87
2026-09-06 11:12:07	3.83	3.70	1.94
2026-09-06 11:42:05	3.75	3.50	1.84
2026-09-06 11:42:06	3.87	3.71	1.91
2026-09-06 12:12:02	3.83	3.64	1.89
2026-09-06 12:42:06	3.75	3.54	1.86
2026-09-06 12:42:07	3.95	3.75	1.90
2026-09-06 12:42:08	3.83	3.70	1.94
2026-09-06 13:12:03	3.83	3.64	1.89
2026-09-06 13:42:05	3.83	3.64	1.89
2026-09-06 14:12:06	3.83	3.64	1.89
2026-09-06 14:42:05	3.75	3.50	1.84
2026-09-06 14:42:06	3.87	3.71	1.91
2026-09-06 15:12:05	3.75	3.54	1.86
2026-09-06 15:12:06	3.91	3.73	1.91
2026-09-06 15:42:04	3.83	3.64	1.89
2026-09-06 16:12:05	3.75	3.54	1.86
2026-09-06 16:12:06	3.91	3.73	1.91
2026-09-06 16:42:07	3.83	3.64	1.89
2026-09-06 18:12:09	3.66	3.54	1.97
2026-09-06 18:42:19	3.66	3.54	1.97
2026-09-06 19:22:12	3.63	3.40	1.93
2026-09-06 19:22:13	3.67	3.61	1.99
2026-09-06 20:02:18	3.63	3.40	1.93
2026-09-06 20:02:19	3.67	3.61	1.99
2026-09-06 20:42:16	3.66	3.54	1.97
2026-09-06 21:22:08	3.63	3.40	1.93
2026-09-06 21:22:09	3.67	3.61	1.99
2026-09-06 21:52:09	3.63	3.40	1.93
2026-09-06 21:52:10	3.67	3.61	1.99
2026-09-06 22:22:12	3.66	3.54	1.97
2026-09-06 22:52:09	3.66	3.54	1.97
2026-09-06 23:22:11	3.66	3.54	1.97
2026-09-06 23:52:09	3.66	3.54	1.97

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Fagiano Okayama	3 : 2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026.05.02	Fagiano Okayama	1 : 0	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026.02.14	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1 : 1	Fagiano Okayama
2025.07.05	Fagiano Okayama	0 : 1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2025.04.12	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0 : 1	Fagiano Okayama