경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 6

Nagoya GrampusHOME · 3.25

1 : 32026.09.06 · 종료

Machida ZelviaAWAY · 2.15

HOME · 현재 순위 13위 승점 6 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 1위 승점 13 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME15.9%

DRAW18.2%

AWAY65.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +22.3%

VALUE EDGE+22.3%

FAIR ODDS1.52

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -3.0%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -8.3%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -21.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -7.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE

Nagoya Grampus분석 지표Machida Zelvia

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

2.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME28.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승30.0%표본 90경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승20.0%표본 5경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.0%현재 이동 +1.7%

OPEN → NOW3.20 → 3.25배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

15.9%

DRAW

18.2%

AWAY

65.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Nagoya Grampus

L · 3-0W · 2-1L · 1-3L · 1-0L · 2-1

Machida Zelvia

W · 2-1D · 1-1W · 3-0W · 2-1W · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME67 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.19

→

CURRENT3.29

+3.19%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW67 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.38

→

CURRENT3.49

+3.10%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY67 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.16

→

CURRENT2.17

+0.39%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:34	3.19	3.38	2.16
2026-09-05 12:15:38	3.20	3.37	2.19
2026-09-06 00:03:23	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 00:34:09	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 01:02:30	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 01:33:16	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 02:02:29	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 02:12:01	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 02:33:09	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 02:42:02	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 03:12:02	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 03:42:03	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 04:12:03	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 04:42:02	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 05:12:03	3.18	3.25	2.15
2026-09-06 05:12:04	3.18	3.47	2.22
2026-09-06 05:42:04	3.18	3.25	2.15
2026-09-06 05:42:05	3.18	3.47	2.22
2026-09-06 06:12:02	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 06:42:04	3.17	3.34	2.17
2026-09-06 06:42:05	3.19	3.50	2.25
2026-09-06 07:12:05	3.18	3.39	2.20
2026-09-06 07:42:04	3.17	3.34	2.17
2026-09-06 07:42:05	3.19	3.50	2.25
2026-09-06 08:12:04	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 08:42:05	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 09:12:03	3.16	3.29	2.16
2026-09-06 09:12:04	3.20	3.51	2.24
2026-09-06 09:42:05	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 10:12:03	3.10	3.25	2.15
2026-09-06 10:12:04	3.20	3.43	2.21
2026-09-06 10:42:04	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 11:12:05	3.17	3.34	2.17
2026-09-06 11:12:06	3.21	3.51	2.26
2026-09-06 11:42:05	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 12:12:02	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 12:42:05	3.17	3.34	2.17
2026-09-06 12:42:06	3.21	3.51	2.26
2026-09-06 13:12:03	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 13:42:05	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 14:12:05	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 14:42:05	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 15:12:05	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 15:42:04	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 16:12:05	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 16:42:06	3.18	3.40	2.20
2026-09-06 17:12:10	3.24	3.41	2.15
2026-09-06 17:12:11	3.32	3.46	2.19
2026-09-06 17:42:09	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 18:12:06	3.20	3.31	2.13
2026-09-06 18:12:07	3.30	3.52	2.18
2026-09-06 18:12:09	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 18:42:14	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 18:42:17	3.18	3.28	2.13
2026-09-06 18:42:18	3.29	3.49	2.17
2026-09-06 19:22:09	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 19:22:12	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 20:02:18	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 20:42:15	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 21:22:08	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 21:52:09	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 22:22:11	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 22:52:08	3.18	3.28	2.13
2026-09-06 22:52:09	3.29	3.49	2.17
2026-09-06 23:22:11	3.25	3.42	2.15
2026-09-06 23:52:08	3.18	3.28	2.13
2026-09-06 23:52:09	3.29	3.49	2.17

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Nagoya Grampus	1 : 3	Machida Zelvia
2026.06.06	Machida Zelvia	2 : 1	Nagoya Grampus
2026.05.30	Nagoya Grampus	2 : 2	Machida Zelvia
2025.11.30	Machida Zelvia	3 : 1	Nagoya Grampus
2025.03.02	Nagoya Grampus	1 : 2	Machida Zelvia
2024.07.06	Machida Zelvia	1 : 0	Nagoya Grampus
2024.03.02	Nagoya Grampus	0 : 1	Machida Zelvia