경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

A Lyga Lithuania · Regular Season - 24

Kauno ŽalgirisHOME · 1.95

5 : 12026.09.10 · 종료

Suduva MarijampoleAWAY · 3.46

HOME · 현재 순위 2위 승점 42 · 24경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 1위 승점 48 · 25경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.6%

DRAW30.1%

AWAY25.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 36.6% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +2.4%

VALUE EDGE+2.4%

FAIR ODDS3.32

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 72/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -14.3%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -8.3%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -3.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -2.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

H2H EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Kauno Žalgiris분석 지표Suduva Marijampole

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 62.5%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.4 / 15

예측 분리도6.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME46.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승46.3%표본 205경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승33.8%현재 이동 +14.7%

OPEN → NOW1.70 → 1.95배당 업데이트 2026-09-09 23:42:11

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

44.6%

DRAW

30.1%

AWAY

25.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Kauno Žalgiris

W · 5-0W · 0-1D · 0-0W · 1-0L · 3-0

Suduva Marijampole

W · 1-2W · 1-2W · 2-0W · 0-2W · 0-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.90

→

CURRENT1.94

+2.44%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.28

→

CURRENT3.20

-2.48%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.58

→

CURRENT3.48

-2.60%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-09 08:42:09	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 08:52:11	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 09:02:09	1.88	3.25	3.63
2026-09-09 09:02:10	1.92	3.30	3.53
2026-09-09 09:12:09	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 09:22:09	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 09:32:11	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 09:42:08	1.88	3.25	3.56
2026-09-09 09:42:09	1.93	3.33	3.61
2026-09-09 09:52:11	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 10:02:11	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 10:12:09	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 10:22:09	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 10:32:10	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 10:42:09	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 10:52:11	1.90	3.28	3.58
2026-09-09 11:02:09	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 11:12:09	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 11:22:11	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 11:32:10	1.87	3.21	3.56
2026-09-09 11:32:11	1.94	3.36	3.58
2026-09-09 11:42:09	1.90	3.26	3.56
2026-09-09 11:42:10	1.95	3.40	3.65
2026-09-09 11:52:11	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 12:02:10	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 12:12:09	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 12:22:10	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 12:32:09	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 12:42:09	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 12:52:10	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 13:02:09	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 13:12:10	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 13:22:11	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 13:32:10	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 13:42:09	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 13:52:10	1.90	3.27	3.57
2026-09-09 14:02:09	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 14:12:08	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 14:22:10	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 14:32:10	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 14:42:09	1.89	3.20	3.49
2026-09-09 14:42:10	1.97	3.28	3.44
2026-09-09 14:52:10	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 15:02:10	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 15:12:10	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 15:22:11	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 15:32:11	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 15:42:10	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 15:52:10	1.90	3.23	3.55
2026-09-09 15:52:11	1.95	3.24	3.40
2026-09-09 16:02:09	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 16:12:09	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 16:22:10	1.90	3.24	3.49
2026-09-09 16:22:11	1.97	3.24	3.43
2026-09-09 16:32:09	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 16:42:10	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 16:52:11	1.93	3.24	3.47
2026-09-09 20:02:09	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 20:12:09	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 20:22:11	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 20:32:11	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 20:42:09	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 21:02:10	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 21:12:09	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 21:22:11	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 21:32:10	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 21:42:09	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 21:52:11	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 22:02:10	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 22:12:09	1.90	3.18	3.50
2026-09-09 22:12:10	1.98	3.28	3.46
2026-09-09 22:22:12	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 22:32:10	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 22:42:10	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 22:52:10	1.93	3.23	3.48
2026-09-09 23:02:11	1.94	3.20	3.48
2026-09-09 23:12:10	1.94	3.20	3.48
2026-09-09 23:22:10	1.94	3.20	3.48
2026-09-09 23:32:11	1.94	3.20	3.48
2026-09-09 23:42:11	1.94	3.20	3.48

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.10	Kauno Žalgiris	5 : 1	Suduva Marijampole
2026.05.23	Suduva Marijampole	2 : 1	Kauno Žalgiris
2026.03.21	Kauno Žalgiris	1 : 1	Suduva Marijampole
2026.01.17	Suduva Marijampole	0 : 4	Kauno Žalgiris