경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

A Lyga Lithuania · Regular Season - 30

Hegelmann LitauenHOME · 2.96

1 : 32026.09.08 · 종료

PanevėžysAWAY · 2.20

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 24 · 26경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 29 · 26경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.3%

DRAW25.6%

AWAY34.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +9.6%

VALUE EDGE+9.6%

FAIR ODDS2.48

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 73/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -6.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +2.8%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -6.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

H2H HOME +33.3%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Hegelmann Litauen분석 지표Panevėžys

8.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.08

1.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 42.9%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.1 / 15

예측 분리도2.7 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME30.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승31.7%표본 183경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승32.6%현재 이동 +16.1%

OPEN → NOW2.55 → 2.96배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:07

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

40.3%

DRAW

25.6%

AWAY

34.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Hegelmann Litauen

D · 2-2D · 1-1L · 2-0L · 1-2L · 2-3

Panevėžys

W · 0-3W · 2-0L · 2-0L · 1-0W · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.47

→

CURRENT2.91

+17.88%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.14

→

CURRENT3.23

+2.82%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.55

→

CURRENT2.17

-14.70%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-07 11:42:05	2.47	3.14	2.55
2026-09-07 11:42:06	2.47	3.06	2.52
2026-09-07 11:52:06	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 12:02:06	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 12:12:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 12:22:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 12:32:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 12:42:04	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 12:52:07	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 13:02:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 13:12:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 13:22:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 13:32:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 13:42:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 13:52:06	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 14:02:06	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 14:12:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 14:22:05	2.47	3.14	2.55
2026-09-07 14:22:06	2.47	3.06	2.52
2026-09-07 14:32:06	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 14:42:04	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 14:52:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 15:02:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 15:12:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 15:22:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 15:32:05	2.47	3.10	2.53
2026-09-07 15:42:05	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 15:52:06	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 16:02:06	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 16:12:05	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 16:22:06	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 16:32:05	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 16:42:04	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 16:52:06	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 17:02:05	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 17:12:05	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 17:22:06	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 17:32:06	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 17:42:05	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 17:52:06	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 18:02:05	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 18:12:04	2.49	3.10	2.50
2026-09-07 18:12:05	2.51	3.12	2.54
2026-09-07 18:22:06	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 18:32:05	2.50	3.10	2.51
2026-09-07 18:42:05	2.45	3.13	2.51
2026-09-07 18:42:06	2.53	3.16	2.56
2026-09-07 18:52:07	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 19:02:07	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 19:12:06	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 19:22:08	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 19:32:07	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 19:42:06	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 19:52:07	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 20:02:06	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 20:12:06	2.49	3.19	2.52
2026-09-07 20:12:07	2.48	3.12	2.54
2026-09-07 20:22:07	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 20:32:07	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 20:42:06	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 20:52:07	2.47	3.13	2.51
2026-09-07 20:52:08	2.55	3.20	2.64
2026-09-07 21:02:07	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 21:12:06	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 21:22:07	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 21:32:06	2.49	3.14	2.53
2026-09-07 21:42:07	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 21:52:08	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 22:02:06	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 22:12:08	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 22:22:09	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 22:32:08	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 22:42:07	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 22:52:09	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 23:02:06	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 23:12:06	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 23:22:08	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 23:32:07	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 23:42:06	2.91	3.23	2.17
2026-09-07 23:52:07	2.91	3.23	2.17

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.08	Hegelmann Litauen	1 : 3	Panevėžys
2026.07.04	Panevėžys	1 : 1	Hegelmann Litauen
2026.05.07	Hegelmann Litauen	3 : 2	Panevėžys
2026.03.07	Panevėžys	1 : 1	Hegelmann Litauen