LIVE 39 오늘 233경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Torneo Federal A Argentina · Winners Stage - 6
Kimberley Mar del PlataHOME · 2.68
0 : 22026.08.31 · 종료
AlvaradoAWAY · 2.90
HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 26 · 16경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 27 · 16경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.3%
DRAW44.5%
AWAY19.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK DRAW 37.1% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +9.7%
VALUE EDGE+9.7%
FAIR ODDS2.25
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 80/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +29.3%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +26.7%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -4.9%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.4%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
H2H EVEN +0.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE
Kimberley Mar del Plata분석 지표Alvarado
50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%
1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42
0.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.67
60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도10.3 / 15
예측 분리도3.5 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME33.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승31.8%표본 22경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승40.9%현재 이동 +8.3%
OPEN → NOW2.47 → 2.68배당 업데이트 2026-08-30 23:52:31

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
36.3%
DRAW
44.5%
AWAY
19.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Kimberley Mar del Plata
L · 1-0W · 3-1L · 2-1W · 1-0D · 1-1
Alvarado
D · 1-1D · 0-0W · 1-0W · 0-2D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+12.0%+6.0%0.0%-6.0%-12.0%08/30 14:5208/30 17:2208/30 19:5208/30 22:2208/30 23:52HOME · 배당 2.49 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 14:52:05HOME · 배당 2.49 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:22:05HOME · 배당 2.49 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:52:04HOME · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.16% · 2026-08-30 16:22:17HOME · 배당 2.49 · 변동 +0.04% · 2026-08-30 16:22:18HOME · 배당 2.48 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-08-30 16:52:15HOME · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-08-30 16:52:16HOME · 배당 2.47 · 변동 -0.86% · 2026-08-30 17:22:18HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 +0.69% · 2026-08-30 17:22:19HOME · 배당 2.48 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-08-30 17:52:16HOME · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-08-30 17:52:17HOME · 배당 2.49 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 18:22:16HOME · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.16% · 2026-08-30 18:52:12HOME · 배당 2.50 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-08-30 18:52:13HOME · 배당 2.49 · 변동 -0.16% · 2026-08-30 19:22:33HOME · 배당 2.49 · 변동 +0.04% · 2026-08-30 19:22:34HOME · 배당 2.58 · 변동 +3.46% · 2026-08-30 19:52:19HOME · 배당 2.58 · 변동 +3.46% · 2026-08-30 20:22:26HOME · 배당 2.57 · 변동 +3.14% · 2026-08-30 20:52:36HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +3.90% · 2026-08-30 20:52:37HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +3.86% · 2026-08-30 21:22:31HOME · 배당 2.57 · 변동 +3.26% · 2026-08-30 21:22:32HOME · 배당 2.56 · 변동 +2.72% · 2026-08-30 21:52:27HOME · 배당 2.58 · 변동 +3.71% · 2026-08-30 21:52:28HOME · 배당 2.57 · 변동 +3.37% · 2026-08-30 22:22:35HOME · 배당 2.60 · 변동 +4.46% · 2026-08-30 22:22:36HOME · 배당 2.63 · 변동 +5.67% · 2026-08-30 22:52:26HOME · 배당 2.71 · 변동 +9.02% · 2026-08-30 22:52:27HOME · 배당 2.62 · 변동 +5.27% · 2026-08-30 23:22:42HOME · 배당 2.64 · 변동 +5.89% · 2026-08-30 23:22:43HOME · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +9.89% · 2026-08-30 23:22:44HOME · 배당 2.69 · 변동 +7.88% · 2026-08-30 23:52:30HOME · 배당 2.64 · 변동 +6.23% · 2026-08-30 23:52:31DRAW · 배당 2.76 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 14:52:05DRAW · 배당 2.76 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:22:05DRAW · 배당 2.76 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:52:04DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-08-30 16:22:17DRAW · 배당 2.77 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-08-30 16:22:18DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 -0.54% · 2026-08-30 16:52:15DRAW · 배당 2.78 · 변동 +0.67% · 2026-08-30 16:52:16DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 -0.59% · 2026-08-30 17:22:18DRAW · 배당 2.77 · 변동 +0.48% · 2026-08-30 17:22:19DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 -0.54% · 2026-08-30 17:52:16DRAW · 배당 2.78 · 변동 +0.67% · 2026-08-30 17:52:17DRAW · 배당 2.76 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 18:22:16DRAW · 배당 2.75 · 변동 -0.38% · 2026-08-30 18:52:12DRAW · 배당 2.78 · 변동 +0.77% · 2026-08-30 18:52:13DRAW · 배당 2.74 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-08-30 19:22:33DRAW · 배당 2.77 · 변동 +0.25% · 2026-08-30 19:22:34DRAW · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -3.49% · 2026-08-30 19:52:19DRAW · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -3.49% · 2026-08-30 20:22:26DRAW · 배당 2.67 · 변동 -3.27% · 2026-08-30 20:52:36DRAW · 배당 2.65 · 변동 -3.80% · 2026-08-30 20:52:37DRAW · 배당 2.63 · 변동 -4.58% · 2026-08-30 21:22:31DRAW · 배당 2.68 · 변동 -2.95% · 2026-08-30 21:22:32DRAW · 배당 2.67 · 변동 -3.34% · 2026-08-30 21:52:27DRAW · 배당 2.66 · 변동 -3.54% · 2026-08-30 21:52:28DRAW · 배당 2.65 · 변동 -3.78% · 2026-08-30 22:22:35DRAW · 배당 2.75 · 변동 -0.32% · 2026-08-30 22:22:36DRAW · 배당 2.59 · 변동 -6.12% · 2026-08-30 22:52:26DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -6.36% · 2026-08-30 22:52:27DRAW · 배당 2.60 · 변동 -5.76% · 2026-08-30 23:22:42DRAW · 배당 2.58 · 변동 -6.32% · 2026-08-30 23:22:43DRAW · 배당 2.60 · 변동 -5.76% · 2026-08-30 23:22:44DRAW · 배당 2.53 · 변동 -8.48% · 2026-08-30 23:52:30DRAW · 배당 2.60 · 변동 -5.72% · 2026-08-30 23:52:31AWAY · 배당 2.94 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 14:52:05AWAY · 배당 2.94 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:22:05AWAY · 배당 2.94 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 15:52:04AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-08-30 16:22:17AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 +0.49% · 2026-08-30 16:22:18AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -1.63% · 2026-08-30 16:52:15AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +2.04% · 2026-08-30 16:52:16AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-08-30 17:22:18AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +1.36% · 2026-08-30 17:22:19AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -1.63% · 2026-08-30 17:52:16AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +2.04% · 2026-08-30 17:52:17AWAY · 배당 2.94 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-30 18:22:16AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -1.30% · 2026-08-30 18:52:12AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +2.61% · 2026-08-30 18:52:13AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -1.70% · 2026-08-30 19:22:33AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 +0.49% · 2026-08-30 19:22:34AWAY · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-08-30 19:52:19AWAY · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-08-30 20:22:26AWAY · 배당 2.87 · 변동 -2.43% · 2026-08-30 20:52:36AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.61% · 2026-08-30 20:52:37AWAY · 배당 2.88 · 변동 -2.21% · 2026-08-30 21:22:31AWAY · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-08-30 21:22:32AWAY · 배당 2.86 · 변동 -2.72% · 2026-08-30 21:52:27AWAY · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-08-30 21:52:28AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -1.45% · 2026-08-30 22:22:35AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +2.04% · 2026-08-30 22:22:36AWAY · 배당 2.88 · 변동 -2.08% · 2026-08-30 22:52:26AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-08-30 22:52:27AWAY · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -4.76% · 2026-08-30 23:22:42AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 -1.63% · 2026-08-30 23:22:43AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +1.19% · 2026-08-30 23:22:44AWAY · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -3.06% · 2026-08-30 23:52:30AWAY · 배당 2.91 · 변동 -1.09% · 2026-08-30 23:52:31
HOME33 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.49
→
CURRENT2.64
+6.23%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW33 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.76
→
CURRENT2.60
-5.72%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY33 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.94
→
CURRENT2.91
-1.09%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-08-30 14:52:052.492.762.94
2026-08-30 15:22:052.492.762.94
2026-08-30 15:52:042.492.762.94
2026-08-30 16:22:172.492.742.89
2026-08-30 16:22:182.492.772.95
2026-08-30 16:52:152.482.742.89
2026-08-30 16:52:162.502.783.00
2026-08-30 17:22:182.472.742.89
2026-08-30 17:22:192.512.772.98
2026-08-30 17:52:162.482.742.89
2026-08-30 17:52:172.502.783.00
2026-08-30 18:22:162.492.762.94
2026-08-30 18:52:122.492.752.90
2026-08-30 18:52:132.502.783.02
2026-08-30 19:22:332.492.742.89
2026-08-30 19:22:342.492.772.95
2026-08-30 19:52:192.582.662.91
2026-08-30 20:22:262.582.662.91
2026-08-30 20:52:362.572.672.87
2026-08-30 20:52:372.592.652.96
2026-08-30 21:22:312.592.632.88
2026-08-30 21:22:322.572.682.92
2026-08-30 21:52:272.562.672.86
2026-08-30 21:52:282.582.662.92
2026-08-30 22:22:352.572.652.90
2026-08-30 22:22:362.602.753.00
2026-08-30 22:52:262.632.592.88
2026-08-30 22:52:272.712.582.96
2026-08-30 23:22:422.622.602.80
2026-08-30 23:22:432.642.582.89
2026-08-30 23:22:442.742.602.98
2026-08-30 23:52:302.692.532.85
2026-08-30 23:52:312.642.602.91

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.08.31Kimberley Mar del Plata0 : 2Alvarado
2026.06.15Kimberley Mar del Plata2 : 2Alvarado
2026.04.12Alvarado0 : 0Kimberley Mar del Plata