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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva A Liga Montenegro · Prva A Liga - Semi-finals
SutjeskaHOME · -
68 : 822023.05.18 · 종료
BuducnostAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.2%
VALUE EDGE+63.2%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
SutjeskaAnalysis MetricsBuducnost
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better +5.08
168.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.25
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation11.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sutjeska
L · 93-58W · 82-83W · 79-73L · 73-75W · 66-84
Buducnost
L · 93-55W · 93-58W · 80-82W · 94-77L · 82-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.15Buducnost84 : 77Sutjeska
2023.05.18Sutjeska68 : 82Buducnost
2023.05.11Buducnost93 : 58Sutjeska