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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva A Liga Montenegro · Prva A Liga - Quarter-finals
SutjeskaHOME · -
79 : 732023.04.27 · 종료
PodgoricaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.1%
VALUE EDGE+51.1%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
SutjeskaAnalysis MetricsPodgorica
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better +4.75
168.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.08
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation0.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sutjeska
L · 73-75W · 66-84L · 91-82W · 71-91W · 90-94
Podgorica
W · 71-72L · 86-74W · 89-64W · 83-78L · 90-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.13Podgorica81 : 82Sutjeska
2024.05.10Sutjeska85 : 81Podgorica
2024.03.15Sutjeska87 : 82Podgorica
2023.12.26Podgorica81 : 73Sutjeska
2023.04.29Podgorica82 : 83Sutjeska
2023.04.27Sutjeska79 : 73Podgorica
2023.03.31Podgorica90 : 94Sutjeska
2022.12.15Sutjeska87 : 81Podgorica
2022.10.17Podgorica61 : 64Sutjeska
2022.01.27Podgorica76 : 65Sutjeska