Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva A Liga Montenegro · 22

TivatHOME · -

71 : 912023.04.09 · 종료

SutjeskaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY48.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +51.1%

VALUE EDGE+51.1%

FAIR ODDS1.96

GRADEA

TivatAnalysis MetricsSutjeska

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-11.92 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25

151.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.75

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.2 / 15

Prediction separation0.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

51.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

48.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tivat

W · 80-90W · 102-83W · 74-88W · 90-86W · 86-65

Sutjeska

W · 90-94W · 95-83W · 85-73W · 77-70L · 88-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.29	Tivat	82 : 74	Sutjeska
2024.02.09	Sutjeska	89 : 84	Tivat
2023.04.09	Tivat	71 : 91	Sutjeska
2022.12.29	Sutjeska	85 : 57	Tivat