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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva A Liga Montenegro · 21
Lovcen CetinjeHOME · -
80 : 742023.04.05 · 종료
Mornar Bar 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.1%
VALUE EDGE+67.1%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Lovcen CetinjeAnalysis MetricsMornar Bar 2
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-9.50 Point MarginHigher is better -7.83
168.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.17
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lovcen Cetinje
L · 99-86L · 74-88L · 102-79L · 63-80L · 88-71
Mornar Bar 2
W · 108-77L · 87-76W · 91-85L · 74-82L · 86-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.05Lovcen Cetinje80 : 74Mornar Bar 2
2022.12.22Mornar Bar 293 : 75Lovcen Cetinje