Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva A Liga
Montenegro · 19
Lovcen CetinjeHOME · -
74 : 882023.03.26 · 종료
TivatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.9%
VALUE EDGE+56.9%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
Lovcen CetinjeAnalysis MetricsTivat
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.92
168.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.75
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation5.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lovcen Cetinje
L · 102-79L · 63-80L · 88-71L · 73-79L · 86-76
Tivat
W · 90-86W · 86-65L · 83-77W · 61-70W · 85-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.22 | Tivat | 88 : 74 | Lovcen Cetinje |
| 2024.01.24 | Lovcen Cetinje | 70 : 79 | Tivat |
| 2023.03.26 | Lovcen Cetinje | 74 : 88 | Tivat |
| 2022.12.11 | Tivat | 71 : 65 | Lovcen Cetinje |