Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva A Liga Montenegro · 12

SutjeskaHOME · -

73 : 712023.01.16 · 종료

DecicAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY25.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +74.7%

VALUE EDGE+74.7%

FAIR ODDS1.34

GRADEA

SutjeskaAnalysis MetricsDecic

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better -8.08

168.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.25

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

11.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

74.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

25.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Sutjeska

W · 64-76W · 85-57W · 72-80W · 84-78W · 87-81

Decic

W · 76-82L · 69-74L · 94-80W · 114-53W · 0-20

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.07	Sutjeska	92 : 71	Decic
2023.12.10	Decic	79 : 91	Sutjeska
2023.01.16	Sutjeska	73 : 71	Decic
2022.10.11	Decic	75 : 84	Sutjeska