Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva A Liga Montenegro · 12

PodgoricaHOME · -

93 : 732023.01.15 · 종료

TivatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY23.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +76.8%

VALUE EDGE+76.8%

FAIR ODDS1.30

GRADEA

PodgoricaAnalysis MetricsTivat

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+4.75 Point MarginHigher is better -11.92

152.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.75

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

76.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

23.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Podgorica

W · 61-67W · 67-78L · 87-81W · 76-70W · 72-81

Tivat

L · 85-57L · 63-70W · 64-71W · 71-65W · 68-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.28	Podgorica	81 : 69	Tivat
2023.12.29	Tivat	78 : 73	Podgorica
2023.01.15	Podgorica	93 : 73	Tivat
2022.10.09	Tivat	76 : 71	Podgorica