Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva A Liga Montenegro · 11

SutjeskaHOME · -

85 : 572022.12.29 · 종료

TivatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY27.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +72.7%

VALUE EDGE+72.7%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADES

SutjeskaAnalysis MetricsTivat

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better -11.92

168.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.75

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

72.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

27.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Sutjeska

W · 72-80W · 84-78W · 87-81W · 75-87L · 89-81

Tivat

L · 63-70W · 64-71W · 71-65W · 68-73W · 20-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.29	Tivat	82 : 74	Sutjeska
2024.02.09	Sutjeska	89 : 84	Tivat
2023.04.09	Tivat	71 : 91	Sutjeska
2022.12.29	Sutjeska	85 : 57	Tivat