Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva A Liga
Montenegro · 8
TivatHOME · -
71 : 652022.12.11 · 종료
Lovcen CetinjeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.3%
VALUE EDGE+63.3%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
TivatAnalysis MetricsLovcen Cetinje
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-11.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.50
151.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation11.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tivat
W · 68-73W · 20-0L · 95-79L · 77-85W · 92-71
Lovcen Cetinje
L · 106-71W · 71-70L · 81-85W · 76-90L · 85-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.22 | Tivat | 88 : 74 | Lovcen Cetinje |
| 2024.01.24 | Lovcen Cetinje | 70 : 79 | Tivat |
| 2023.03.26 | Lovcen Cetinje | 74 : 88 | Tivat |
| 2022.12.11 | Tivat | 71 : 65 | Lovcen Cetinje |