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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva A Liga Montenegro · 7
Mornar Bar 2HOME · -
75 : 832022.12.07 · 종료
PrimorjeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.9%
VALUE EDGE+66.9%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
Mornar Bar 2Analysis MetricsPrimorje
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-9.08 Point MarginHigher is better +3.75
166.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.75
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.6 / 15
Prediction separation14.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mornar Bar 2
L · 87-65L · 102-71W · 95-79L · 86-75L · 50-78
Primorje
L · 69-80L · 90-70W · 80-79L · 92-71W · 94-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.21Primorje87 : 76Mornar Bar 2
2022.12.07Mornar Bar 275 : 83Primorje