Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva A Liga Montenegro · 7

DanilovgradHOME · -

68 : 732022.12.04 · 종료

TivatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.9%

VALUE EDGE+60.9%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEA

DanilovgradAnalysis MetricsTivat

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-5.67 Point MarginHigher is better -11.92

160.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.75

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.5 / 15

Prediction separation9.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Danilovgrad

L · 96-69L · 65-94L · 77-80W · 93-98L · 93-103

Tivat

W · 20-0L · 95-79L · 77-85W · 92-71L · 72-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.03	Danilovgrad	94 : 104	Tivat
2023.12.03	Tivat	95 : 84	Danilovgrad
2023.03.19	Tivat	90 : 86	Danilovgrad
2022.12.04	Danilovgrad	68 : 73	Tivat