Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva A Liga
Montenegro · 5

Mornar Bar 2HOME · -
95 : 792022.11.10 · 종료
TivatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.9%
VALUE EDGE+56.9%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEB
Mornar Bar 2Analysis MetricsTivat
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-9.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.25
166.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
11.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
11.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mornar Bar 2
L · 86-75L · 50-78W · 78-73
Tivat
L · 77-85W · 92-71L · 72-65W · 76-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.12 | Tivat | 86 : 65 | Mornar Bar 2 |
| 2022.11.10 | Mornar Bar 2 | 95 : 79 | Tivat |