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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva A Liga Montenegro · 4
PodgoricaHOME · -
20 : 02022.10.30 · 종료
Ibar RozajeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.4%
VALUE EDGE+78.4%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
PodgoricaAnalysis MetricsIbar Rozaje
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+4.75 Point MarginHigher is better +5.75
152.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.92
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Podgorica
W · 50-78L · 91-72L · 61-64W · 80-62L · 76-71
Ibar Rozaje
L · 0-20L · 20-0L · 0-20

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.03Podgorica77 : 60Ibar Rozaje
2024.01.13Ibar Rozaje56 : 91Podgorica
2022.10.30Podgorica20 : 0Ibar Rozaje