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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva A Liga Montenegro · Prva A Liga - Semi-finals
BuducnostHOME · -
84 : 772024.05.15 · 종료
SutjeskaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.5%
VALUE EDGE+54.5%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
BuducnostAnalysis MetricsSutjeska
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+6.92 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25
172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.75
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Buducnost
W · 103-87W · 70-89W · 95-86L · 56-97W · 68-82
Sutjeska
W · 81-82W · 85-81W · 103-79L · 82-74L · 93-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.15Buducnost84 : 77Sutjeska
2023.05.18Sutjeska68 : 82Buducnost
2023.05.11Buducnost93 : 58Sutjeska