Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva A Liga
Montenegro · Prva A Liga - Quarter-finals
Mornar BarHOME · -
77 : 1042024.05.11 · 종료
TivatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.7%
VALUE EDGE+72.7%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsTivat
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.92
165.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.75
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mornar Bar
L · 104-79L · 103-68L · 76-97L · 81-74L · 71-78
Tivat
W · 104-79L · 99-85W · 82-74L · 84-73W · 88-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.07 | Mornar Bar | 91 : 89 | Tivat |
| 2024.05.11 | Mornar Bar | 77 : 104 | Tivat |
| 2024.05.08 | Tivat | 104 : 79 | Mornar Bar |
| 2023.04.26 | Mornar Bar | 92 : 92 | Tivat |