Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva A Liga
Montenegro · Prva A Liga - Quarter-finals
SutjeskaHOME · -
85 : 812024.05.10 · 종료
PodgoricaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.6%
VALUE EDGE+62.6%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADES
SutjeskaAnalysis MetricsPodgorica
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.75
168.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.08
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
9.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sutjeska
W · 103-79L · 82-74L · 93-71W · 109-78W · 77-80
Podgorica
W · 65-69W · 72-121W · 82-59W · 87-66W · 94-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.13 | Podgorica | 81 : 82 | Sutjeska |
| 2024.05.10 | Sutjeska | 85 : 81 | Podgorica |
| 2024.03.15 | Sutjeska | 87 : 82 | Podgorica |
| 2023.12.26 | Podgorica | 81 : 73 | Sutjeska |
| 2023.04.29 | Podgorica | 82 : 83 | Sutjeska |
| 2023.04.27 | Sutjeska | 79 : 73 | Podgorica |
| 2023.03.31 | Podgorica | 90 : 94 | Sutjeska |
| 2022.12.15 | Sutjeska | 87 : 81 | Podgorica |
| 2022.10.17 | Podgorica | 61 : 64 | Sutjeska |
| 2022.01.27 | Podgorica | 76 : 65 | Sutjeska |