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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva A Liga Montenegro · 25
TivatHOME · -
82 : 742024.04.29 · 종료
SutjeskaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.9%
VALUE EDGE+51.9%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
TivatAnalysis MetricsSutjeska
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-11.92 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25
151.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.75
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tivat
L · 84-73W · 88-74W · 67-77W · 73-62W · 103-84
Sutjeska
L · 93-71W · 109-78W · 77-80W · 83-78W · 75-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.29Tivat82 : 74Sutjeska
2024.02.09Sutjeska89 : 84Tivat
2023.04.09Tivat71 : 91Sutjeska
2022.12.29Sutjeska85 : 57Tivat