Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva A Liga
Montenegro · 20
PljevljaHOME · -
77 : 802024.04.04 · 종료
DanilovgradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
PljevljaAnalysis MetricsDanilovgrad
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-20.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.75
166.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.42
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pljevlja
L · 103-84W · 87-82L · 105-75L · 106-78L · 72-95
Danilovgrad
L · 52-100W · 69-79W · 84-79L · 101-84L · 94-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.04 | Pljevlja | 77 : 80 | Danilovgrad |
| 2024.01.14 | Danilovgrad | 78 : 76 | Pljevlja |