Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva A Liga Montenegro · 18

PodgoricaHOME · -

81 : 692024.03.28 · 종료

TivatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY33.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +66.8%

VALUE EDGE+66.8%

FAIR ODDS1.50

GRADEA

PodgoricaAnalysis MetricsTivat

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+4.75 Point MarginHigher is better -11.92

152.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.75

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

13.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.3 / 15

Prediction separation14.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

66.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

33.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Podgorica

L · 87-82W · 92-67L · 72-71W · 100-91W · 95-52

Tivat

W · 79-72L · 82-73W · 80-71W · 94-104W · 74-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.28	Podgorica	81 : 69	Tivat
2023.12.29	Tivat	78 : 73	Podgorica
2023.01.15	Podgorica	93 : 73	Tivat
2022.10.09	Tivat	76 : 71	Podgorica