Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva A Liga Montenegro · 17

DanilovgradHOME · -

84 : 792024.03.17 · 종료

DecicAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY62.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +62.8%

VALUE EDGE+62.8%

FAIR ODDS1.59

GRADEA

DanilovgradAnalysis MetricsDecic

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-6.92 Point MarginHigher is better -6.92

163.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.58

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.3 / 15

Prediction separation10.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

37.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

62.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Danilovgrad

L · 101-84L · 94-104L · 94-123L · 82-113L · 102-84

Decic

W · 82-73L · 92-71W · 93-91L · 68-79L · 101-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.26	Decic	71 : 76	Danilovgrad
2024.03.17	Danilovgrad	84 : 79	Decic
2023.12.24	Decic	105 : 74	Danilovgrad
2023.03.26	Danilovgrad	74 : 103	Decic
2022.12.11	Decic	114 : 53	Danilovgrad